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United Nations Tourism Organization forecasts indicate that the war in the Middle East may lead to a reduction in global tourism sector growth by one to two percentage points from original projections, resulting in a growth rate of between 1% and 3% in 2026. During the first quarter of the year, approximately 307 million people traveled internationally, an increase of 6 million compared to the same period in 2025. However, growth gradually slowed due to escalating conflict, declining confidence, and rising travel costs—particularly due to higher fuel prices and the impact of the war on air travel. Europe and Africa experienced a 4% growth, while the Middle East saw a 14% decline due to tensions. Demand for safe destinations in Europe increased, while fuel price hikes and security concerns led to higher flight expenses. It is expected that the war will significantly hamper the sector's growth throughout the year.
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