Major mining mergers remain possible despite censorship

Despite increased regulatory scrutiny of major mergers in the mining sector, large-scale deals remain possible and accessible, especially as governments focus on securing supply chains for critical minerals amid a volatile geopolitical environment. Estimates suggest that companies need between 12 to 18 months to obtain regulatory approvals, and while regulatory hurdles are not a fundamental barrier to closing these transactions, they may require additional time. Geopolitical considerations—such as control over mines and processing facilities—continue to be key factors influencing deal completion, with heightened international oversight, particularly from China, which aims to ensure the security of its critical mineral supplies while adhering to regulatory measures and structural restrictions when necessary.

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