Goldman Sachs: Gulf Oil Exports Recovering

Oil exports from the Gulf Arab states have recovered to about two-thirds of pre-war levels with Iran, averaging between 15 and 16 million barrels per day, supported by increased transit movements through the Strait of Hormuz. However, these flows are still 7-8 million barrels per day below pre-conflict levels. The transportation occurs largely unmonitored by specialized shipping companies, reflecting producers' adaptation to the war and helping to curb rising oil prices, which have fallen to around $89 per barrel compared to over $120 in April. Additionally, the decline in Iranian oil shipments to Asia has led to a significant decrease in Iran's exports. Nevertheless, Gulf flows continue to influence the stability of the global oil market.

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