Will 2022’s Market Crisis Repeat

Global bond markets have experienced widespread declines alongside rising yields. However, the extent of these declines remains significantly less than what was seen in 2022, when a wave of inflation and central bank policies led to sharp increases in interest rates. Over 20 trading sessions, bond yields have increased by 17 basis points, compared to a jump of 62 basis points during the same period in 2022. Since the beginning of the year, global bond values have fallen by 4.2%, compared to a substantial 23% decline in 2022. It is expected that yields will continue to rise as inflation persists, especially due to high energy prices and significant government expenditures, with the potential of ongoing selling waves if inflation remains elevated. Nevertheless, investors now have greater tolerance for volatility, and bond markets remain far from the historic downturn experienced in 2022.

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