IEA: Ukrainian Attacks Impact Russia's Oil Sector

The International Energy Agency confirmed that the Russian oil refining sector is experiencing ongoing deterioration due to international sanctions and intense attacks on refineries during August. At least 22 attacks targeted the facilities, leading to delays in repairing secondary units that require 6 to 8 months to replace. Due to shortages of equipment and necessary maintenance technologies, the Russian government has imposed a temporary ban on diesel, gasoline, and aviation fuel exports, resulting in fuel rationing in some regions. The agency's forecasts show Russian oil processing decreasing over the next 18 months to around 4 million barrels per day, representing a decline of up to 30% from pre-invasion levels. Additionally, crude oil supply is expected to be reduced in 2026 by 125,000 barrels per day, reaching 8.7 million barrels daily.

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