Goldman Sachs forecasts Fed rate increase in October

Goldman Sachs Bank expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point in October, following policymakers' signals indicating a greater chance of an additional increase later this year. October is viewed as the most likely month for this move, aimed at helping to achieve the 2% inflation target. This outlook comes after the Fed raised rates in September to a range between 3.75% and 4.00%, amid rising hawkish tones in its monetary policy. Markets assign a 50% probability of a rate hike in October, anticipating that the tightening stance will continue, with expectations of further increases in 2026.

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