Energy Markets 2027: Hormuz Amid Tensions

The Global Risk Management Company report forecasts energy market trends for 2027, predicting that oil prices will decline to an average of around $80 per barrel, with scenarios ranging from $50 to $150, depending on the improvement of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and the recovery of Middle Eastern production. The report links the market rebalancing to a gradual return of shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz, after prolonged restrictions, with the possibility of a breakthrough in the second half of the year resulting from US-Iran talks. It also expects that markets for liquefied natural gas will remain tight, as well as the diesel and jet fuel markets, especially given ongoing limited gas supplies from Qatar and threats of tension in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which increase overall energy price sensitivity.

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