Goldman Sachs: Gulf Oil Exports Rise

Goldman Sachs reported that oil exports from Gulf countries recovered last week to approximately 23.3 million barrels per day, a level consistent with the averages projected for 2025. This recovery was supported by increased flows through the Strait of Hormuz and the transfer of oil between ships. Crude oil exports accounted for about 90% of this rebound, reflecting a significant rise to 19 million barrels daily, which is 108% of the 2025 average. Estimates also indicated that unlocated oil shipments transported by ships reached around 5.2 million barrels per day, representing flows that are difficult to monitor directly. Despite growth in refined petroleum product exports and LPG, exports of diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel remain roughly at half of their 2025 averages. The bank expects that the global oil market was nearly balanced in September, with oil inventories approaching late-February 2026 levels. It forecasts that Brent crude oil prices will decline to $85 per barrel by the end of the year and to $80 in 2027, following the largest monthly increase since July.

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