Global economy under strain amid Middle East slump

The International Monetary Fund's forecasts indicate that the global economy will experience a slowdown in growth, from 3.5% in 2025 to 3.1% in 2026, before recovering to 3.4% in 2027. Growth is heavily influenced by a high level of concentration, with 32 countries responsible for 95% of the total increase. Additionally, conflicts in the Middle East and rising energy costs are exacerbating economic challenges. Inflationary pressures are worsening, with oil prices projected to average $95.74 in 2026, along with increases in fertilizer and food prices, as the ability to cut interest rates deteriorates amidst challenges from public debt, ongoing conflicts, and declining investment in artificial intelligence. It is expected that Middle Eastern economies will contract in 2026 before experiencing strong growth in 2027, with risks related to war, rising debt, and technological impacts being closely monitored.

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