A Century of World Cup Contenders

The history of the World Cup reflects a remarkable paradox, as only about 22 editions have been held since its inception nearly a hundred years ago, with two editions excluded due to World War II. The tournament has been dominated by the continents of Europe and South America, as no team from outside these continents has ever won, and only 13 nations have reached the final, most of which are from these two continents. Additionally, the data show that winning requires a high level of quality and stability; the victorious countries often have a strong tradition of producing talented players, and most of them still have local coaches. Among the contenders for the 2026 World Cup—Argentina, France, Germany, Spain, and the Netherlands—these historical patterns are evident. The data suggest that breaking these norms remains an uncertain prospect, given the persistence of these traditional patterns.

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