tayyar.org - Three Outcomes for the South

The article discusses the possible scenarios for the withdrawal of Israeli forces from southern Lebanon, where the withdrawal is expected to be fragmented and conditional. Some areas might manage to return to Lebanese sovereignty partially, while Israel could retain strategic positions until it is assured that the arrangements are effective. Other scenarios foresee either the establishment of semi-permanent borders or a complete collapse leading to renewed war, depending on Hezbollah's escalation or the expansion of Israeli military operations. The article also explores the potential developments and their impact on regional security.

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