Party Hesitates in Support Effort

The article addresses the issue of Hezbollah's potential readiness to engage in a new war on the southern front of Lebanon. It comes amidst efforts by the Lebanese state and its leadership, especially Speaker Nabih Berri, to reduce escalation and prevent the situation from spiraling into a broader confrontation. Information indicates that Hezbollah continues to keep its final decision in the hands of its leadership, maintaining a stance that upholds weapons as a primary deterrent. The group is not bound by official commitments and considers any war decision to be subject to its own military and political assessments, rather than the decisions of state institutions. Despite attempts at political mediation, efforts to persuade Hezbollah not to escalate have not been successful, leaving the door open to all possibilities. Tensions within the Shiite community are rising, along with concerns about a repeat of destruction and displacement if a conflict erupts. The main question remains whether Lebanon has the capacity to prevent a war from breaking out if ordered from outside, or if the final decision ultimately remains in the hands of Hezbollah's leadership and Iran—especially given the limited influence of Lebanese institutions over Hezbollah's strategic choices.

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