40 Days After US-Iran Deal

Forty days after the signing of the memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran on June 15, the outcome of the agreement, which aimed to halt military operations, open the Strait of Hormuz, ease sanctions, and resume nuclear negotiations, is deteriorating. While the provisions concerned ceasing fighting, reopening the strait, lifting the maritime blockade, and modifying sanctions, on-the-ground events have shown that most of these have not been implemented. Additionally, military escalation has hampered understandings, as Iran continues to manage passage through the strait and impose fees, and the United States focuses on strengthening its forces in the region and imposing restrictions on Iranian oil exports despite previous promises of waivers. The current situation highlights the freezing of nuclear negotiations and significant challenges in implementing the provisions, amid increasing military and economic tensions between the two sides. The failure to execute most of the agreement’s terms is seen as a means to escalate the conflict rather than achieve its intended objectives.

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