tayyar.org - Party depends on Iran, avoids Israel

The article discusses the political and military developments in Lebanon amidst escalating tensions with Israel, especially following the Washington summit and changes in the circumstances that were present in 2023. The focus is on Hezbollah’s and Iran’s positions. Analyses indicate that Hezbollah may currently be content with political confrontation rather than resorting to direct military escalation, particularly after signing a framework agreement with Israel under American auspices aimed at preventing any new escalation for Lebanon. The group also faces operational challenges, having had to reposition militarily backwards as the conflict with the Israeli occupation intensifies. Meanwhile, Lebanon strives to maintain internal stability, amidst differing political stances—such as those of Nabih Berri—and expectations of not opening a broad military front in the south. Pressure on Hezbollah continues, with limited political and military movements.

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