Lebanon's view on Turkey's regional role and security concerns

The article discusses the visit of President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nohad Machnouk to Ankara, which aimed to strengthen bilateral relations with Turkey, attract economic support, expand Lebanon's diplomatic network, and coordinate security and regional issues. Turkey seeks to establish a foothold in Lebanon as part of its strategy to redraw the balance of power in the Eastern Mediterranean, leveraging Lebanon's geographic position as an entry point to compete with regional powers and enhance its influence in the Arab East. Turkey’s calculations intertwine with its economic and security interests, especially in confronting regional challenges, while relying on non-military tools such as social and economic relations. Additionally, Turkey’s interests intersect with those of Israel, and Turkey’s expansion near Israel’s borders is a sensitive security issue that threatens Israeli interests. Israel may respond flexibly if Turkey’s presence does not involve the establishment of permanent bases or the deployment of advanced defense systems. The future of these relations remains dependent on regional developments and Turkey’s efforts to manage competition without military escalation. Israel remains cautious about Turkish expansion along its borders, with predictions that if Turkey’s military presence became permanently extensive, it could escalate tensions and threaten Israeli security interests.

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