Prepare for a lengthy downturn

The article discusses the difficulties and challenges of negotiations between Lebanon and Israel, emphasizing that the current circumstances are more complex and severe compared to the 1980s and 1990s. The present situation is influenced by the expanding Iranian influence through Hezbollah and the intervention of the Revolutionary Guard, in addition to the escalation of Israeli aggression following the events of October 7th. For decades, negotiation rounds have been characterized by the difficulty of imposing options by external powers, with the dominance of Syrian and Iranian tutelage over Lebanon, which complicates the chances of reaching solutions.

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