Iraq's plan after September 30 to tackle armed factions

After the deadline of September 30th to enforce the monopoly on weapons by the state has passed, Iraq faces three main scenarios regarding the opposing factions: a political settlement, the gradual implementation of the law, or limited confrontation. The government is working on practical measures, including forming committees to reorganize armed groups and detach them from the state, while continuing to exert legal and security pressures to prevent the continuation of armament outside the state's authority. Success depends on the government's ability to impose exclusive military decision-making; if it fails, military clashes may escalate or the crisis could persist, amid the influence of armed factions and their political and social institutions.

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