Is Israel Considering a Reverse Deal in Lebanon

Israeli security analyses reveal that direct military confrontation alone is insufficient to curb the influence of Hezbollah militias in Lebanon. Therefore, Israel proposes a new strategy based on a "reverse deal" that includes economic incentives and a gradual withdrawal by Israel in exchange for a ban on Hezbollah's weapons and the strengthening of the Lebanese state's control over arms. Estimates confirm that military solutions alone are inadequate, and that achieving Lebanese sovereignty and bolstering the Lebanese army with U.S. support is the only way to prevent Lebanon from becoming a battleground for regional conflicts that threaten regional security. Reports also indicate that Iran continues to support Hezbollah to obstruct negotiations and escalate tensions using drones, while Israel conducts targeted strikes to maintain its deterrence and reinforce its sovereignty.

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