Hormuz Cables Near Escalation Threshold

Iran is studying the possibility of targeting submarine fiber optic cables in the Strait of Hormuz as a means to increase pressure on the Gulf in the event of escalating tensions. This poses a threat to the Gulf’s digital infrastructure, which heavily relies on these cables to carry approximately 97-98% of international data traffic. Iran could disrupt these cables through targeted or widespread attacks, potentially leading to decreased internet speeds, disruption of banking services, e-commerce, and digital government functions, as well as impacting data centers and artificial intelligence systems. Although Gulf countries have terrestrial backup options and multiple landing stations, the loss of several cables could prolong the crisis. This highlights the need to strengthen terrestrial networks and satellite communications for emergency situations to ensure continuity.

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