Turkey and Israel: Tensions and Risks

The article suggests that relations between Turkey and Israel are heading towards a potential escalation, with an increasing likelihood of direct military confrontation between the two in the region, especially in the context of tensions in Syria. Following the incident where Israel targeted the Abu al-Zuhur airbase and the subsequent Turkish military movements, it appears that preparations for escalation are intensifying, and both sides may be engaging in a game of pressure and deterrence, although a war is not necessarily imminent. Israel's security doctrine after October 7 focuses on striking the adversary’s capabilities before they develop into a real threat, which heightens fears of an escalation that could threaten regional stability.

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