Iran tests if people can bear war costs

The article examines Iran's current situation between war and negotiation, explaining that the Iranian regime finds itself in a suspended state between continuing economic and military warfare on one side and pursuing negotiations on the other. It highlights that the regime is trying to buy more time by exerting pressure on the Strait of Hormuz and reducing economic support, but it faces increasing internal risks, including a gasoline crisis, inflation, and rising social anger, all of which threaten to trigger a social explosion that could revive demands for previous protests. The article also focuses on Mojtaba Khamenei, the potential successor, attempting to organize the decision-making centers for security and political affairs in order to prevent internal uprisings and to consolidate power despite factional differences, alongside security measures aimed at containing possible public outrage. Ultimately, the article shows that the regime is navigating a delicate balance between continuing the war, pursuing negotiations, and the risk of internal explosion that could threaten its stability.

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تنويه: هذا ملخص تم إنشاؤه بواسطة الذكاء الاصطناعي

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