Lebanon anticipates no major conflict

The article discusses the Israeli military escalation in southern Lebanon, particularly in the Nabatieh region. According to Western diplomatic sources, this escalation has not yet led to a full-scale war. It examines the diplomatic efforts and security precautions that Lebanon is undertaking, including strengthening the state's presence and intensifying military measures to reduce tension. There is also international pressure to enhance control over security decisions and to manage Hezbollah's arms. Additionally, it highlights that the United States considers the Israeli escalation linked to internal Israeli calculations and does not regard it as a prelude to a broader war. The future of political progress in Lebanon is seen as connected to the outcomes of negotiations with Iran. Efforts to mediate among international parties continue to contain the situation, with Hezbollah remaining a key player in any future settlement. The Lebanese scene continues to fluctuate between active confrontation and political negotiations, with close attention being paid to the future of arms and Hezbollah’s role in regional balance.

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