Tunisie Telegraph: Will hot summer lead to heavy rains and a cold winter

Many pieces of information indicate that the hot summer in Tunisia for 2026, with July recording a high average temperature of 31.7°C, is not expected to be preceded by an exceptionally rainy or torrential autumn. Seasonal forecasts suggest that the coming fall could be warmer than usual with a slight increase in rainfall, but not enough to cause floods or natural disasters. Rainfall will be sporadic and vary from region to region, and there may be heavy showers over short periods, which could lead to flooding in some areas. However, this does not mean an exceptional or flood-prone rainy season overall. Additionally, the relationship between summer heat and winter cold is indirect, making it difficult to accurately predict whether approaching winter will be harsh or moderate based solely on summer temperatures. In general, current conditions do not show signs of an impending stormy season, but caution remains due to the possibility of above-average rainfall. It is advisable not to rely solely on forecast trends for precise predictions about the timing or intensity of rainfall.

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