Tunisia and Italy Migrant Shift

According to data from the International Organization for Migration, the year 2026 saw a decline in the number of migrants arriving by sea to Europe, with the total dropping to approximately 60,000 since the beginning of the year—a 39% decrease compared to 98,000 during the same period in 2025. However, there was an increase in the number of deaths and missing persons, reaching at least 2,292 cases, up from 1,999 last year. The Mediterranean and Atlantic routes remain among the most dangerous migration pathways, with the organization acknowledging that the actual casualty figures could be higher due to many drowning incidents not being documented. In Italy, the number of arrivals by sea decreased by 55% to around 21,000, while the death toll along the route rose to 996, indicating that the decline in migrant numbers does not correspond with a reduction in risks. Greece also experienced a decrease in arrivals alongside an increase in fatalities, while the number of migrants crossing Spain declined compared to the previous year—yet the numbers of missing persons and victims continued to rise. On another note, over 17,000 migrants were intercepted and returned to Libya during the first seven months of 2026. The organization emphasized the urgent need to strengthen international cooperation to save lives, improve safe migration routes, protect migrants, and track missing persons, given the rise in fatalities amid escalating dangers on maritime migration routes.

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