Hormuz Strait Faces Unprecedented Challenge

Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz between Iran, the United States, and Israel have escalated into a severe crisis that has impacted energy markets and Gulf economies. Ship traffic through the strait has decreased by approximately 90%, and energy infrastructure has suffered damages estimated at around $58 billion. This has caused oil prices to rise to $118 per barrel before dropping back to about $100, leading to increases of 20% to 40% in the prices of gas, fertilizers, and petrochemicals. The resilience of Gulf countries has varied; the UAE remains more stable due to its diverse economy and large sovereign reserves, while Qatar and Kuwait are facing significant pressures because of their heavy reliance on oil. The crisis is expected to continue until the end of 2026, and there is a possibility that escalation could lead to slowed economic growth in the region and exacerbate financial challenges.

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