US assesses Putin's NATO threat

The article reviews American intelligence estimates indicating that Russian President Vladimir Putin may seek to test NATO's response by launching a limited attack on one of its allies in the near future. The assessments suggest the possibility that Putin might carry out a cyber attack or a limited incursion, particularly in the Baltic states or Poland, with the aim of challenging NATO's unity and its commitment to Article 5 without triggering a full-scale military response. The timing and manner of such escalation remain uncertain, but officials believe that Putin could resort to escalation if he fails to end the war in Ukraine in a way that satisfies Moscow. The alliance affirmed that its defense posture and readiness to respond to such scenarios are ongoing, amid increased Russian incursions into NATO countries over recent months, and as the risks escalate of Russia using suicide drone attacks and heightened security threats in the region.

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