Iran faces pivotal power struggle shaping war outcome

The report indicates a deep divide within the Iranian system regarding how to approach the ongoing 47-year war with the United States, specifically on achieving the desired victory. The pragmatic and technocratic faction, led by the president and including officials in and outside the parliament, advocates for reaching an agreement with Washington aimed at ending the conflict and improving the deteriorating economy, considering that ending international isolation and establishing peace with America is the path to stabilizing Iran. In contrast, hardliners reject trusting the United States and believe that military confrontation, missiles, and Shiite religious beliefs are better means of confronting threats. They emphasize that a policy of confrontation has proven more effective than diplomacy. Hardliners rely on past failures of agreements with America, such as the 2015 nuclear deal, viewing Trump as untrustworthy and suspecting control over certain media outlets and military circles, which deepens the division and influences Iran’s political decisions and its future negotiations with Washington.

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