JP Morgan predicts UK rate cuts by late 2026

J.P. Morgan's forecast for a U.S. interest rate hike has been postponed to November 2026, after the Bank of England decided to keep the rate at 3.75% amid a state of uncertainty related to inflation risks and tensions in the Middle East. Previously, expectations had pointed to an interest rate increase of 25 basis points in July 2026, but recent developments prompted a revision of this outlook, amid concerns that inflation could continue to rise due to increasing oil prices and global inflationary pressures.

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