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Democratic gains in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Nevada could give the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact enough support to take effect: those states’ 50 electoral votes would lift its pledged total from 222 to 272, above the 270-vote threshold. The group behind the compact plans to advance legislation in those states and Arizona in 2027; it would apply to the 2028 election only if participating states reach 270 electoral votes by July 20, 2028. Supporters say states can choose how to appoint electors, while critics argue the compact requires congressional approval and could face a constitutional challenge.
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