Surprises in 2028 race

Kalshi’s early 2028 presidential markets have attracted nearly $500 million in trading, with Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff leading Democratic contenders at a 26% chance of winning the nomination and Vice President J.D. Vance leading Republicans at 33%. Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez are at about 12% and 13%, while Marco Rubio is at 18% and Ron DeSantis at 17% for the Republican nomination. The article cautions that the field and market rankings are likely to change before the primaries.

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