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Russia's troop advantage over Ukraine diminishes
Russia faces significant military recruitment challenges amid ongoing efforts to sustain its war in Ukraine. Despite offering large bonuses and incentives, recruitment fell 20% in the first quarter and may be further declining, forcing Moscow to consider more unpopular measures such as mobilization or recruiting foreign nationals. The labor shortage is also impacting the civilian economy, with factories operating at maximum capacity and inflation rising, all while Russia’s military capabilities are strained by shifting battlefield dynamics and Ukraine’s technological advances.
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