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The article discusses expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes, which are anticipated to reveal the central bank's intentions to continue raising interest rates in response to rising inflation. The analysis highlights that markets are more than 90% likely to foresee the Fed increasing rates, amid U.S. Treasury yields reaching their highest levels since 2007, driven by inflation concerns and support for higher energy prices. The report also emphasizes that divisions within the Federal Open Market Committee regarding how to approach inflation, and the messages conveyed during the meeting, will significantly influence market trends, with a full trajectory of tightening policy expected until the end of the year. Ultimately, the article underscores the importance of the Fed’s reaction to market expectations—whether surprising investors with a specific rate hike or hinting that the tightening cycle may resume—while focusing on the substantial challenge faced by Chairman Jerome Powell in restoring inflation expectations and achieving price stability.
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