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The sovereign bond risk premium in the Middle East region rose by 20 basis points, reaching 402 basis points above U.S. Treasury yields, the highest level since 2022. This increase was driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the region following the American president's warning about the potential end of the ceasefire. The intensification of the situation between Iran and the United States, along with the resumption of attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, has increased pressure on Gulf countries and raised investment risks. As a result, the Middle East has become the weakest performing region in the emerging markets dollar bond market since the outbreak of the war.
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