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Prediction platforms achieved record-breaking growth during the 2026 World Cup matches, with their market share of total legal sports betting in the United States rising to 27%, up from 9% at the beginning of the year. Platforms such as "Calshi" and "Boli Market" set new trading volume records, surpassing their previous figures during the NBA playoff rounds, benefiting from oversight by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. This growth marks a significant shift in the prediction market, as these platforms increasingly resemble traditional betting, facing growing competition from platforms supported by companies like Robin Hood. The trend is expected to continue expanding into other areas such as elections and weather forecasts.
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