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J.P. Morgan Bank forecasts that rising energy prices and the intensification of the El Niño climate phenomenon will lead to an increase in global inflation in 2027, with a significant impact on food prices—particularly in emerging markets such as India, Brazil, and Indonesia—where inflation could rise by about 0.6 percentage points due to higher fuel and fertilizer costs. Global food prices could increase by up to 1.5 percentage points if conditions continue to worsen. Additionally, the El Niño phenomenon is expected to shift to a "very strong" or "extreme" phase with an 81% probability, remaining until next year. This will slow the decline of inflation and impact agricultural production and global markets.
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