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Goldman Sachs: Market's Rate Hike Expectation Exceeds
Goldman Sachs Group has reported that financial markets are overly expecting a tightening of U.S. monetary policy through interest rate hikes, despite declining inflation and weak economic indicators such as retail sales and employment. The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will implement an extraordinary rate hike at the September meeting, but traders have postponed their expectations, now expecting an increase in January instead of December. The analysis suggests that yields on two-year Treasury bonds will remain above 4%, with the yield curve likely to flatten further, indicating that the Federal Reserve has no intention of tightening policy at this time due to weaker-than-expected employment and inflation data.
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