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Global bond markets have experienced a wide wave of selling, leading the yield on the ten-year U.S. Treasury bond to rise to 4.97%, the highest level since late 2023. It is approaching the 5% level, which is considered a critical threshold for financial markets. This development is driven by escalating inflation concerns, with oil prices exceeding $100 a barrel and increasing expectations of a rate hike at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, where investors are pricing in a 72% chance of a rate increase. Additionally, yield movements are affecting other markets such as Australia and Japan, which is increasing borrowing costs for consumers, businesses, and governments. These developments may lead to bond competition with stocks and potentially slow down economic growth.
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