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2026-09-29T18:26:57.000Z

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Middle East Oil Exports Rise as Iran's Strait Control Wanes

Reports indicate that Iran's ability to block the Strait of Hormuz to halt oil flows and exert pressure on the United States is diminishing, due to increased capabilities of the U.S. Navy and Gulf states in defending against or avoiding attacks. This has led to a return of oil shipments through the strait at high levels, approaching the highest rates recorded since the war began in February, with regional exports reaching around 13 million barrels per day. Meanwhile, Iran continues to be unable to export oil via the strait since the re-imposition of American sanctions in July. This situation threatens to impair its revenue sources and reduces its leverage in negotiations. It is also expected that Iran's reserves will be depleted by mid-October, raising the likelihood of military escalation, which could drive oil prices higher and provoke disruptions in global energy markets.

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