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The International Monetary Fund's report reviews how the global economy has managed to withstand numerous crises and challenges in recent years, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war, and energy and inflation crises. This resilience has helped avoid a complete recession. However, the report indicates that this resilience does not reflect genuine strength in the economic system; rather, it signifies only an ability to avoid the worst outcomes so far, as financial support tools weaken and geopolitical risks increase—such as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and threats to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. It also confirms that inflation is returning, national debts are rising, and growth is concentrated in specific sectors, thereby widening growth disparities among countries. The report warns that the upcoming period will require difficult choices between painful reforms or facing more costly and complex crises.
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