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Standard Chartered expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates by a further 25 basis points in February, after lifting them on Thursday to 4% from 3.75%—its first increase in more than three years. The vote was 8–1, with Catherine Mann preferring a larger, 50-basis-point increase. The bank says escalating conflict in the Middle East and rising energy prices could increase the chances of an earlier hike in December. Standard Chartered expects rate cuts to resume in the fourth quarter of next year, followed by three 25-basis-point cuts in the first three quarters of 2028. It cautions that this path depends on how long the energy-price shock lasts.
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