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Economics professor Ridha Chkoundali argues that Tunisia’s 2026–2030 five-year plan sets optimistic targets without realistic financing or structural reforms. It includes more than 21,000 projects costing around 102 billion dinars, with 61% expected to be funded by the state budget, despite public debt reaching 83.7% of GDP. He notes that the plan banks on growth of 3.8% in 2027, while the government has lowered its forecast to 3.1%; the IMF projects growth of 2% and the World Bank 2.1%. The article concludes that the plan has failed its first real-world test because of the funding gap, overambitious targets, and its focus on redistributing wealth rather than addressing low productivity and fostering wealth creation.
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