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The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has warned that continued energy crises in the Middle East until the second half of 2027 could lead to a sharp slowdown in global economic growth. Growth could decline to 2.1% this year and 1.8% in 2028, accompanied by significant increases in interest rates and rising inflation, due to escalating conflict in the region and disruptions in energy flows. The organization indicated that if these conditions persist, it could cause the worst economic slowdown in 40 years outside of major crises, with energy prices rising by up to 50% and long-term impacts on markets and growth.
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