المصري اليوم
المصري اليوم
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The article discusses the reasons behind the success and failure of mediations in ending wars, explaining that the success of mediation depends on several key factors including the neutrality of the mediator, the mediator's ability to shape incentives, the nature and causes of the conflict, the timing of intervention, and the mechanisms for implementation and monitoring of agreements. The article demonstrates that mediation aligned with these factors and that fosters trust between the parties leads to successful outcomes, as temporarily happened in the American-Iranian conflict, while other mediations failed due to a lack of trust, ineffective follow-up mechanisms, interference by parties, or inappropriate timing, as seen in attempts to end the Russia-Ukraine war. In conclusion, it emphasizes that the success of mediation requires the collaboration of all these elements to ensure sustainable peace.
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