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An international scientific study, involving Alexandria University, revealed that sharp changes in the monsoon wind system and a lengthening of the rainy season by up to 41 days have increased the risks of natural disasters in the Indrawati River Basin in Nepal. The study explained that these shifts led to drought waves and higher temperatures during March and April, weakening the vegetation cover and making the soil more prone to landslides. This was followed by unprecedented monsoon rains that doubled the likelihood of floods and landslides. The hydrological model projected that maximum flood flows at the Hīlambo station could reach approximately 94.84 cubic meters per second, compared to 84.96 cubic meters previously. Additionally, the duration of the rainy season is expected to extend between 143 and 156 days, compared to the historical 115 days. The study recommended redesigning infrastructure to prevent water flows exceeding historical levels, improving early warning systems, and implementing proactive policies to safeguard water security and address the risks associated with changing seasons.
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