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Former Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Galant revealed that the General Security Service ("Shabak") received a message from Hamas before the October 7, 2023 attack, warning that the group's leader in Gaza, Yahya Sinwar, would push for "mass prison breaks." He also indicated that the message contained warnings of a possible earthquake before the end of September, along with Israeli demands to prepare for the evacuation of Palestinian prisoners from the prisons. The issue relates to a covert communication channel that had existed between Israel and Hamas, aimed at facilitating a prisoner exchange deal, prior to the escalation of tensions and the attack. There were internal disagreements within Israel regarding the extent of understanding and analysis of these previous warnings, as well as the Israeli leadership's stance during that period.
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