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Political researcher Amer Tamam said the timing of any U.S. strike on Iran would be tied to calculations surrounding the midterm elections, not to Iranian threats, which he described as routine. He noted that Washington has sufficient information about Iran’s capabilities and targets. Tamam said Donald Trump might avoid launching a strike well before the election for fear of rising prices and U.S. casualties, but could order one just hours before voting if he believed Republicans were likely to lose—in an effort to rally voters and project American strength.
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