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The article argues that the Middle East is on the brink of an explosion that could reshape the international order, while Washington seeks to prevent an all-out war for fear of eroding its global deterrence. Moscow sees the escalation as an opportunity to wear down American influence, while taking care not to let the situation slip out of control. Beijing, meanwhile, fears a threat to energy supplies and seeks to strengthen its image as a power committed to mediation and trade. Europe is concerned about waves of refugees and rising energy prices, amid the lack of a clear Western vision for resolving the crisis. The outcome may come through secret understandings or gradual shifts—not necessarily through a formal declaration of war.
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