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The article discusses a radical shift in the rules of conflict between Israel and Lebanon, where the Israeli cabinet issued a decision authorizing the army to respond directly by bombing Beirut and the southern suburbs without prior political approval, as part of an attempt to impose a new fear-based equation. The article links the escalation of ground operations in southern Lebanon and Israel's threats with the ongoing US-Iran negotiations, which face obstacles amid continued clashes in the region—particularly with Washington's efforts to halt fire and achieve a settlement. It presents possible scenarios for the developments, ranging from a full-scale explosion to enforced understanding, emphasizing that military solutions do not guarantee lasting peace and that continued escalation threatens the security of the entire region.
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