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Poll insights: Independents aided Trump’s win but less enthusiastic
Analyses of opinion polls reveal that independent voters' support for U.S. President Donald Trump has significantly declined since he secured a second term. Support among unaffiliated, non-college-educated independents dropped from around 50% to about 25% this year. This decline has led to a convergence of negative opinions about Trump among independents generally, regardless of their education level. His popularity has also waned among smaller groups that previously supported him, such as Black independents and those from Spain and Portugal. The study was conducted through approximately 20 polls between July 2024 and April 2026, showing notable shifts at different points during Trump’s second term—particularly as the 2024 presidential elections approached and political developments unfolded, including the passing of the "Big Beautiful Bill," government shutdowns, and the start of the Iran conflict.
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