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Midterms, señal para 2028
Interactive simulations using 2026 exit polls show how voter-group shifts helped Democrats win the midterms and could affect a hypothetical 2028 presidential election. If age groups had voted as they did in 2024, Republicans would have won 11 more Senate races and held 55 seats; a 10-point shift among women toward Republicans would also have kept the Senate in GOP hands. In a 2028 scenario, a four-point Democratic shift among men, women or white voters without college degrees could flip Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin—and their 44 electoral votes—to Democrats.
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